A few weeks ago I posted a series on the road to 100G, and one of the points I made was that there is an industry bias against bandwidth aggregation. Well, here is a case in point. The online magazine xChange reports that one ‘prominent industry analyst’ called it “Infinera’s fake 100G demo” because it was done via bandwidth aggregation.
In a way, I understand this sentiment, because for some fiber-poor networks 100G via bandwidth aggregation doesn’t solve one of the problems they need to solve, which is to fit more and more data onto the fiber they have. But for fiber-rich networks out there, the bigger issue is in how costs will scale going forward. It still costs more for a 40G pipe than it does for four 10G pipes. You can claim savings on the simplification of operations that justify it, but it doesn’t change the fact that the cost per bit is still of the same order of magnitude as bandwidth grows 50%+ per year.
Sooner or later the industry is going to have to face the mathematics. Solving the technical hurdles is not enough, putting 100G on a single wavelength is just not likely to be able to keep pace on cost for a long time. Fake or not, bandwidth aggregation is not going away.
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