With CenturyLink in the Wings, Level 3 Finishes Off 2016

February 8th, 2017 by · 6 Comments

With the CenturyLink/Level 3 deal still in process, there are still earnings reports to keep an eye on.  This afternoon, Level 3 posted its numbers for the fourth quarter of 2016, showing relatively stable results relative to the third quarter.  Relative to analyst estimates, Q4 revenue came in light at $2.032B while earnings per share of $0.70 was above expectations.

$ in millionsQ4/15Q1/16Q2/16Q3/16Q4/16Comments
 – North America – Wholesale425434443412 405 Stronger Enterprise numbers this quarter
 – North America – Enterprise11461167116211601179
 – EMEA – Wholesale6965636158Nothing special here
 – EMEA – Enterprise118107110104106
 – EMEA – UK Government2219181716
 – Latin America – Wholesale3539373734Down, partially currency?
 – Latin America – Enterprise125116123139136
Total Core Network Services1,9431,9471,9561,930 1,934Below expectations, but still up sequentially
 – Wholesale Voice & Other110104100103 98Broke down through the 100 barrier finally
Total Revenue2,0532,0512,0562,033 2,032Down sequentially, and below expectations.
Network Access Costs708694676675 680
Network Expenses337331335331327
Cash SG&A32331633o311316
Adjusted EBITDA681710715716709The first sequential decline in a while.
Adjusted earnings per share0.530.350.410.400.70 
Network access margin %65.5%66.2%67.1%66.8% 66.5%
Adj. EBITDA margin %33.2%34.6%34.8%35.2% 34.9%
Capital Expenditures330297367364 306Guidance for capex raised.
Free Cash Flow226213264281 251

In North America, enterprise revenues rose strongly during the quarter, more than offsetting softness on the wholesale side.  Enterprise growth also returned to the scene in Europe, while in Latin America they held most of last quarter’s surge.  In both cases, wholesale and government revenues ebbed.  Combined, core network services went up by $4M, and total revenues down by $1M.  For the full year, Level 3 generated $7.767B in revenue.

EBITDA fell sequentially on slightly higher access costs and SG&A, but earnings per share jumped up due to a tax benefit – will have to listen to the call for details on that.  Free cash flow was a healthy $251M.

Looking ahead, Level 3 forecast 2017 EBITDA of $2.94-3.00B, free cash flow of $1.10-1.16B, and capital expenditures of about 16% of revenue.

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